Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey is San Francisco's RB1 and still gets his production both ways, on the ground and as a receiver. Through six games in 2026 he is averaging 12.8 carries and 5.8 targets per game, with 18 red-zone carries (3.0 per game) that have turned into seven rushing touchdowns. He is running efficiently at 4.5 yards per carry, but the receiving work has been short. His 28 catches have produced only 190 yards, about 6.8 yards per reception.

Next to his last two full seasons, the workload is lighter. In 2025 he averaged 18.3 carries, 7.6 targets and 4.2 red-zone carries per game on his way to 416.6 PPR points, the most in the league, at 24.5 per game. In 2023 he posted the same 24.5 per game (391.3 points over 16 games, ranked third) on 17 carries and 5.2 targets a game, with a 5.4 yards-per-carry mark. His current 20.3 PPR points per game ranks eighth so far, a strong number but a clear step below those peaks. The 2024 season was a four-game sample at 12.0 points per game.

The fantasy and DFS read is that touchdowns are carrying the line right now. His 42 points from rushing scores make up roughly a third of his 122 total, and without them he is at about 13.3 per game from yardage and receptions. Our projection of 28.8 points per game, ranked first overall, sits well above both his 2026 pace and his best per-game seasons. That projection assumes the carry and target volume moves back toward 2025 levels. If his workload stays near 13 carries and 6 targets and the red-zone scoring cools from seven touchdowns in six games, his output looks more like a solid RB1 than a slate-breaking one. A rebound in target share or receiving yardage would be the clearest sign that the projection is in play.

Written by a language model from the stat lines below. Numbers from Sleeper; the 2026 line is the season in progress.