Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford is the Rams' QB1 at 38, entering his 17th NFL season out of Georgia, and his fantasy production comes almost entirely through the air. He does not add value with his legs. He ran 29 times for 1 yard in 2025 and has 21 rushing yards on 11 attempts through six games this season. His weekly score depends on passing yardage and touchdown throws, with no rushing floor underneath.

The 2026 volume is the highest of the four seasons shown. He is averaging about 41.5 attempts and 299 passing yards per game, up from roughly 35 attempts and 277 yards in 2025, 32 attempts and 235 yards in 2024, and 35 attempts and 264 yards in 2023. Efficiency is steady, with a completion rate near 66% that is in line with prior years. The touchdown rate has dropped, though, to about 1.8 per game from roughly 2.7 during last season's 46-touchdown campaign. Turnovers are also up: his 6 interceptions in six games already approach the 8 he threw across all 17 games in 2025.

That combination puts him at about 18.7 PPR points per game, 23rd overall so far. That is below his 2025 pace of roughly 21.1 per game, when he finished ninth, but well above his 2024 rate of about 13.9 and 2023 rate of about 16.9. Last season was the outlier in his recent track record, and this year's results sit between that peak and his earlier norm.

Clutch Edge projects him for 22.6 points per game, 11th overall, which assumes his touchdown production climbs back toward 2025 levels while the heavy passing volume holds. The case for rostering him rests on that volume. Few quarterbacks are throwing this often, and the yardage gives him a reasonable passing base each week. The risk is that without any rushing contribution, a game with few touchdowns or multiple interceptions leaves nothing to offset it. If the touchdowns start matching the attempts, he plays like the projection. If the interception rate stays where it is, his weekly floor stays shaky.

Written by a language model from the stat lines below. Numbers from Sleeper; the 2026 line is the season in progress.