Kyler Murray

Murray is Minnesota's QB1, and his fantasy production has always come from two sources: an efficient, mid-volume passing game and a steady rushing contribution. Through four games in 2026 he has completed 69 of 101 passes (about 68 percent) for 662 yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He has added 20 carries for 93 yards. That works out to roughly 25 pass attempts, 166 passing yards, 5 rushes and 23 rushing yards per game. He has no rushing touchdowns yet.

The per-game output is well below his recent baseline. He is averaging about 10.5 PPR points per game in 2026. He averaged about 16.2 in five games in 2025, 18.1 across a full 17-game 2024, and 18.9 in eight games in 2023. His completion rate is in line with prior years, which have all been between about 66 and 69 percent, so the drop isn't accuracy. It's volume and scoring. His passing attempts fell from about 32 per game in 2024 and 2025 to about 25 now. His rushing yardage fell from the low-to-mid 30s per game to the low 20s. The 2024 season shows what the full version looks like: 3,851 passing yards, 21 passing touchdowns, 572 rushing yards and 5 rushing touchdowns, good for a PPR rank of 17. The data also shows only 5 games played in 2025 and 8 in 2023, so availability has been inconsistent outside of 2024.

Clutch Edge projects him for 17.6 points per game, ranked 100th overall among QB/RB/WR/TE. That projection assumes he gets back toward his 2023-2024 form rather than continuing his current pace. The case for him rests on the rushing floor. Five or six carries a game gives him a cushion most pocket passers lack, and the occasional rushing touchdown is what has pushed him into the 18-plus range in past seasons. The case against him is the passing volume. At 25 attempts a game, he needs efficiency or touchdowns to reach a useful QB score, and he has 2 passing touchdowns in four games.

The signs to watch are attempts climbing back above 30 per game, rushing yardage returning to the 30-plus range, and his first rushing touchdown of the season. If those show up, the projection looks reasonable and his price could lag behind his production. If the low-volume pattern holds, he plays more like the 10-point quarterback he has been so far in 2026 than the one the projection describes.

Written by a language model from the stat lines below. Numbers from Sleeper; the 2026 line is the season in progress.