Josh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs: Goal-Line Volume Drives Value, but the Depth Chart Raises Questions
Josh Jacobs earns his fantasy points as a volume-and-touchdown runner rather than a big-play back. In 2025 he handled 234 carries in 15 games, about 15.6 per game, and 48 red-zone carries, roughly 3.2 per game. That near-goal-line work produced 13 rushing touchdowns despite a modest 4.0 yards per carry. The passing-game role is steady but secondary: 44 targets and 36 catches for 282 yards in 2025, under three targets per game. Ball security is a minor blemish, with 2 fumbles lost in 2025 and 3 in 2024.
There are no 2026 stats in the data, so the comparison rests on his three prior seasons. Per game, 2024 was the peak: 17.2 PPR points on 17.7 carries, 78 rushing yards and 3.3 red-zone carries, with 4.4 yards per carry and 15 rushing touchdowns. In 2025 he fell to 15.8 points per game. His red-zone share held steady, but his carries dipped and his rushing yards per game dropped to about 62. The 2023 season was the low point, with 13.9 points per game, 3.5 yards per carry and only 6 touchdowns. That year he saw his heaviest target load at about 4.2 per game. The pattern is clear: his output rises and falls with touchdown volume far more than with efficiency or receiving work.
For fantasy and DFS, the Clutch Edge projection of 17.5 points per game sits above both his 2024 and 2025 per-game marks. That projection assumes he keeps feature-back carries and goal-line work. The listed depth-chart spot of RB #4 is hard to square with that usage history, and the data does not explain it, along with an overall rank of #109. Managers should confirm his role before locking him in. If he is getting the early-down and red-zone carries, his floor comes from touchdown equity. The ceiling would need a 2024-style jump in efficiency. A reduced carry share or lost goal-line work would remove most of his value, because his limited target volume gives him little cushion in PPR formats.
Written by a language model from the stat lines below. Numbers from Sleeper; the 2026 line is the season in progress.
| Season | GP | Rush Att | Rush Yds | YPC | Rush TD | RZ Carries | Targets | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Fum Lost | PPR Pts | PPR Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15 | 234 | 929 | 4.0 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 36 | 282 | 1 | 2 | 237.1 | 36 |
| 2024 | 17 | 301 | 1329 | 4.4 | 15 | 56 | 43 | 36 | 342 | 1 | 3 | 293.1 | 20 |
| 2023 | 13 | 233 | 805 | 3.5 | 6 | 36 | 54 | 37 | 296 | – | 1 | 181.1 | 95 |