Ja'Marr Chase

Chase is Cincinnati's LWR1 and a volume-driven receiver. He gets his production through catches and targets rather than the ground game, with just three rush attempts in each of the last three seasons. His usage near the goal line has been a big part of his ceiling. He drew 35 red-zone targets on the way to 17 touchdowns and a PPR rank of 2 in 2024, and he has 7 red-zone targets through five games this season.

The 2026 per-game numbers are a step down. He is averaging 7.6 targets, 5.4 catches and 57.8 receiving yards, compared with 11.6 targets, 7.8 catches and 88.3 yards in 2025 and 10.3 targets and 100.5 yards in 2024. His 10.7 yards per reception is the lowest of the four seasons shown. Touchdowns have kept his scoring afloat. Four scores in five games account for 24 of his 79.9 PPR points, and he is at roughly 16.0 points per game. That is close to his 2023 pace of 16.4, but it trails 19.6 in 2025 and 23.7 in 2024. His PPR rank of 58 reflects a partial season and isn't a fair comparison to his full-year finishes.

Clutch Edge projects him for 21.6 points per game, ranked 18th overall, which assumes his target share moves back toward his 2024-2025 levels. The case for him rests on that history and on red-zone usage that is holding steady at 1.4 targets per game. The risk is that his current scoring depends heavily on touchdowns while his yardage and volume run well below his norm. In DFS, his salary relative to his recent 16-point output will determine whether he's a buy. A lower price would favor betting on a target rebound.

The key thing to watch is whether his targets climb back toward double digits. If they do, the projection looks reasonable and his ceiling returns. If he stays in the 7-8 range and the touchdown rate cools, his floor looks more like his 2023 season than his elite years.

Written by a language model from the stat lines below. Numbers from Sleeper; the 2026 line is the season in progress.