Chase Brown

Chase Brown is Cincinnati's RB1, and his fantasy production comes from a steady workload on the ground and through the air. Through five games in 2026 he has 71 carries, about 14.2 per game, and 28 targets, or 5.6 per game. He has turned those targets into 24 catches, so the receiving work is reliable. But those catches have produced only 124 yards, about 5.2 per reception, which points to short, checkdown-style usage rather than downfield work.

His per-game workload is close to his last two seasons. He averaged roughly 14.3 carries per game in 2024 and 13.6 in 2025, and his target rate has climbed from about 4.1 per game in 2024 to 5.2 in 2025 to 5.6 now. The difference is efficiency and scoring. His yards per carry has dropped to 3.5 from 4.4 in 2025 and 4.3 in 2024, so his rushing yards per game have fallen to about 49 from roughly 60 last year. He has one rushing touchdown and no receiving scores so far, after 11 total touchdowns in 2025. His red-zone carries are about 1.8 per game, close to 2025's 2.0 but below 2024's 2.75. He has also lost a fumble. The result is about 13.0 PPR points per game, down from roughly 16.6 in 2025 and 15.9 in 2024.

For fantasy and DFS, the appeal is the floor that comes from roughly 20 opportunities a game and a receiving role that adds points in PPR formats. The current output looks more like a scoring and efficiency dip than a lost role. That is why the Clutch Edge projection of 16.4 points per game sits above his 2026 pace and in line with his prior seasons.

The bet on Brown is that his touchdowns and yards per carry move back toward his 2025 levels while the volume holds. A rebound in red-zone carries or a few receiving scores would bring him back to last year's production. A drop below the RB1 workload or a continued slide in efficiency would cap him at the roughly 13-point output he has shown so far.

Written by a language model from the stat lines below. Numbers from Sleeper; the 2026 line is the season in progress.